Real Salt Lake opened their Leagues Cup campaign with a crushing 4-0 win over Atlante, and the model gives them an 82% chance of winning here. Their last five games produced 11 goals scored and 4 over-2.5 results. Juarez arrive with zero clean sheets in their last five, conceding in all five matches, but their attack has fired in only 3 of those 5 games. The DNB removes draw risk at a comfortable price. RSL's home DNB at 1.40 reflects the 94% home-or-draw probability the model assigns to Salt Lake. Juarez have lost three of their last five and carry a -3 goal difference over that stretch. With three RSL defenders injured, some vulnerability exists, but the quality gap is clear. Back RSL DNB at 1.40.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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