Real Madrid host Villarreal in Round 8 of La Liga, two sides who between them have shipped goals in every single game across their last five outings. Madrid arrive having lost twice recently, including a 1-2 derby defeat to Atletico, while the Yellow Submarine has scored in all 5 of their last matches despite picking up only 2 wins.
The numbers back the chaos. Madrid's last 5 games produced 4 BTTS results, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded, zero clean sheets. Villarreal is even more open: 5 from 5 BTTS, 11 goals for, 10 against. In their last 5 head-to-heads, both teams found the net in 3 of those clashes, and Villarreal has scored in every h2h meeting. The model puts BTTS probability at 69%.
At 1.53 (bet365), BTTS YES offers real value given two defensively porous squads. Militao and Mendy are out for Madrid, weakening an already leaky backline. Villarreal will score here - back Both Teams to Score.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.01.26 | La Liga | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 04.10.25 | La Liga | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 15.03.25 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 05.10.24 | La Liga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.05.24 | La Liga | 4–4 | O2.5 |
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