El Sardinero is a cauldron, but Racing arrive at Matchday 5 with zero clean sheets in their last five games and a squad missing Andres Martin. Alaves, by contrast, have not lost in five outings, winning four, and their defence has kept three clean sheets in that same run.
The numbers tell a clear story. Racing have conceded in all 5 of their last five matches and managed only 2 wins. Alaves have scored in all 5 of theirs and conceded in just 2. In three head-to-heads, Racing have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2, shipping 6 goals while scoring only 2. The model puts Alaves at a 74 % win probability against odds of 2.75.
At 2.75 the away win is the bigger price worth backing. Racing's leaky defence and Alaves's momentum make this a genuine edge. Bet Alaves to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.07.23 | Club Friendlies | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 21.01.23 | Segunda División | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 01.11.22 | Segunda División | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service