Estadio La Corregidora sets the stage for Round 9, with Queretaro riding back-to-back away wins in Liga MX heading into home territory. Leon arrive with three injuries in their squad - Estrada, Valadez and Guerra all out - and just one BTTS result in their last three games, suggesting a side that is solid but misfiring in attack. The model gives Queretaro a 41% chance to win, ahead of Leon at 28%. The last two H2H meetings produced zero BTTS results, and Leon have conceded in only 1 of their last 3 games while Queretaro scored in 3 of 5. The home win at 2.5 beats the implied model probability, and with Leon short-handed up front, Queretaro at home looks the value call. Tip: Queretaro to win at 2.5.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.26 | Liga MX | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 31.08.25 | Liga MX | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 05.04.25 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 27.10.24 | Liga MX | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 07.04.24 | Liga MX | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service