QPR arrive at this Championship round-4 fixture on the back of four wins from their last five outings, including a 2-1 victory at Blackburn and a 3-1 win at Portsmouth. Cardiff, by contrast, have won just once in five, drawing three and losing one, and head into this match without four first-team players through injury.
The numbers favour Rangers clearly. QPR have scored in 4 of their last 5 games and kept 2 clean sheets. Cardiff have conceded in all 5 of their recent matches and kept zero clean sheets, leaking 9 goals while scoring 9. The model puts QPR's win probability at 68 per cent, with a combined home win or draw figure of 88 per cent. Draw No Bet on QPR at 1.40-1.42 removes the slim draw risk and still offers a workable price.
Verdict: QPR Draw No Bet at 1.40 (bet365). The Rangers are the value side here. Cardiff's defensive frailty on the road, four absentees, and a winless run make this a manageable liability.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.07.25 | Club Friendlies | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 05.04.25 | Championship | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.11.24 | Championship | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 01.01.24 | Championship | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 12.08.23 | Championship | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service