PSV open their Eredivisie home account against a Groningen side missing five players through injury. The visitors arrive with two league wins from two, so they are not without confidence, but the gulf in class at Philips Stadion is well-documented. PSV themselves drew at home to Sittard in round one before winning at Excelsior, and they carry the familiar firepower that comes with being Eredivisie title contenders.
The head-to-head record is the loudest number in this file. PSV have won all five of the last meetings, scoring 20 goals and conceding just 4. Every one of those five fixtures produced over 2.5 goals. Groningen's injury list - five absentees including Ondrejka, Zawada and Resink - weakens the attack that impressed early in the season.
The AH -1.5 at 1.85 (bet365) is the play. Five straight wins, 20 goals scored in those meetings, and a depleted visiting squad points firmly to a PSV victory by at least two. Confidence is measured given PSV's own mixed pre-season, but the handicap price carries genuine value.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.26 | Eredivisie | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 23.08.25 | Eredivisie | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 05.04.25 | Eredivisie | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 23.11.24 | Eredivisie | 5–0 | O2.5 |
| 11.02.23 | Eredivisie | 6–0 | O2.5 |
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