Vicente Lopez, midnight kick-off, and Platense welcoming a Talleres side that has lost four of its last five. The home crowd will fancy this, but Platense limp in with four injury absences and a squad that has won just once in their last five across all competitions. The market is backing the hosts, yet the model sees this differently.
Talleres have conceded in all five recent games, yes, but they have also scored in two of five - and Platense have kept just one clean sheet in their last five. In the head-to-head from Platense's perspective, Talleres have won three of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 away win in February. Four of those five h2h games went over 2.5 goals.
At 3.10 (bet365), Talleres away represents genuine value against a depleted Platense. The model gives the visitors a 50 percent chance of winning. I'll take the bigger price and back Talleres to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.02.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 08.11.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 30.04.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 15.06.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.02.23 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–4 | O2.5 |
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