Platense host Coquimbo in the CONMEBOL Libertadores last 16 carrying mixed domestic form: 2W-1D-2L in their last five, with four goals conceded at home to Talleres alone. Coquimbo arrive unbeaten in their last four and have scored in all five recent outings. Four absentees on the home side add extra uncertainty to a tight knockout tie.
The model lands at 95% for both teams to score and 97% for over 2.5 goals. Platense scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in 3 of 5; Coquimbo scored in 5 of 5 and conceded in 3 of 5. Over 2.5 landed in 3 of Platense's last 5 and BTTS in 3 of Coquimbo's last 5. The numbers point one way.
BTTS YES is the clear call. Two attack-minded sides who both leak goals, a high-stakes continental stage and a model sitting at 95% confidence. If odds surface, they will be short - but the edge is real.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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