Philadelphia Union come into Sunday night's MLS clash at home, winners of their last two at Subaru Park, having beaten Seattle Sounders 1-0 and New York Red Bulls 3-1. Atlanta Utd arrive in catastrophic road shape: zero wins, four losses and 13 goals conceded in their last five away games, with five injured players missing.
The numbers tell a brutal story. Atlanta have failed to score in two of their last five away matches, conceding in all five. Philadelphia scored in all five of their recent games and have kept a clean sheet at home. The model gives Union a 55% win probability, and the 1X2 HOME price of 1.67-1.73 is consistent with that edge.
This is not a complicated read. A shattered Atlanta side, decimated by injuries and without a road win in five, walks into a Union team in form at home. Back Philadelphia Union to win at 1.73.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 14.03.26 | MLS | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 18.05.25 | MLS | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 20.04.25 | MLS | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 29.09.24 | MLS | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 14.04.24 | MLS | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service