Coppa Italia knockout football, and Parma walk in battered. Two straight Serie A defeats, zero goals scored in those games, and the home crowd already restless after losing to Cagliari on their own patch. Cremonese arrive from Serie B, yes, but they just knocked out Sampdoria in the previous round and have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 outings.
The head-to-head from Parma's perspective tells a sobering story: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 4 meetings, with Cremonese actually winning the most recent fixture 2-0 at Parma's ground in March. Parma have scored in only 2 of their last 5 matches. Cremonese have conceded in only 2 of their last 5. The away DNB sits at 2.5, which is value when the hosts are this fragile.
I'm taking Cremonese to win outright at 3.5. A Serie B side with momentum, a clean-sheet habit and a recent H2H win here. Parma look lost right now, and cup football rewards squads with something to prove.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.03.26 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 21.09.25 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 05.05.24 | Serie B | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 01.10.23 | Serie B | 1–2 | O2.5 |
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