Bundesliga Round 2 brings a stark contrast in form. Paderborn opened with a 0-0 draw at Mainz and carry three absentees into this home fixture. Freiburg, by contrast, have won all five of their last outings, scoring 19 goals across those games, and arrive fresh from a 4-1 dismantling of Werder Bremen on Matchday 1.
The numbers back Freiburg heavily. They have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Paderborn scored in just 4 of 5. Freiburg's DNB price of 1.48 at bet365 reflects the market's lean, yet given 19 goals in five games and a perfect win record, that price still carries genuine value against a newly promoted side missing key players.
Freiburg DNB at 1.48 is the play. If Paderborn nick a goal and hold on, you get your stake back; the realistic scenario is a Freiburg win. For the alternative, BTTS YES at 1.57 is tempting given both sides have conceded in 3-4 of their last 5.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.11.23 | DFB Pokal | 1–3 | O2.5 |
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