Osasuna arrive at this La Liga round-9 home fixture without a single clean sheet in their last five games, having shipped 17 goals in that stretch. Racing Santander are no fortress either, conceding in all 5 of their last five outings while leaking 18 goals themselves.
The numbers scream goals from both ends. Osasuna have seen BTTS land in 3 of their last 5, Racing in 4 of their last 5. Over 2.5 goals has landed in every single one of Racing's last five matches. The model puts the BTTS probability at 79%, and with four Osasuna players injured, the defensive frailty is even more exposed.
Both teams to score at 1.50-1.53 is the play. It is a short price, yes, but the evidence on both sides is overwhelming. For those wanting a bigger swing, Racing Santander at 3.70 to nick the three points is the wild-card worth a small stake.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.07.26 | Club Friendlies | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 02.08.25 | Club Friendlies | 0–1 | U2.5 |
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