El Sadar on a late Monday night, and two sides that know exactly how to make a game ugly. Osasuna arrive with a La Liga win at Celta already banked in round one, while Getafe were hammered 3-0 at Alaves on matchday one before scraping past Racing Santander 1-0 at home. Both squads are short on firepower right now, and the mood in both camps is cautious rather than expansive.
The numbers back that caution hard. The model puts the probability of both teams scoring at just 9 per cent, and under 2.5 goals at 87 per cent. In the last five head-to-heads from Osasuna's perspective, Getafe have conceded in all five meetings. Osasuna scored in 3 of their last 5 across all comps; Getafe conceded in 4 of their last 5. Getafe are missing Mario Martin and Christantus Uche, thinning out their options further up the pitch.
Give me the BTTS No at 1.53-1.62. Both attacks are misfiring, the model screams under, and Getafe travel with a depleted forward line. It is a short price, but it fits the shape of this fixture perfectly.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.05.26 | La Liga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.10.25 | La Liga | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 16.03.25 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 05.10.24 | La Liga | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 21.01.24 | La Liga | 3–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service