Nottingham head into Round 3 having drawn 2-2 at Liverpool in their last Premier League outing, a result that at least showed attacking intent after a home defeat to Leeds. Tottenham arrive in worse shape: back-to-back Premier League losses to Brentford (0-3) and Newcastle (0-2) leave them without a top-flight point, and three key absences - Maddison, Sarr Pape and Simons - thin out their creative options considerably. Forest miss Sangare but the disruption feels more manageable.
The head-to-head numbers are stark. In 2 meetings this season Forest won both, scoring 6 and conceding 0. Tottenham's Premier League record so far reads 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, 0 goals scored. The model assigns an 86% probability to a Nottingham win, with 0% to an away victory.
Draw No Bet on Nottingham at 1.78 (bet365) removes the slim draw risk while still offering a workable price given the model's near-total conviction. Back Forest DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.03.26 | Premier League | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 14.12.25 | Premier League | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 21.04.25 | Premier League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 26.12.24 | Premier League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 07.04.24 | Premier League | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service