Premier League Round 1, and the pre-season numbers tell a clear story. Nottingham won 2 of their last 5 friendlies, losing 3, and kept just 1 clean sheet. Leeds, by contrast, won 4 of 5, scoring 13 goals in the process, with Gabriel Gudmundsson and Ilia Gruev the only injury concerns noted.
The key numbers favour the visitors. Leeds scored in all 5 of their recent matches; Nottingham scored in only 3 of 5. Both head-to-head meetings this season ended with both sides scoring and at least 3 goals, suggesting an open contest. The market prices Nottingham as slight favourites at 2.28, which looks soft given the form gap.
Draw No Bet on Leeds at 2.20 is the play. You get your stake back if it ends level, and the pre-season evidence supports a Leeds result. Alt: BTTS YES at 1.75, backed by both h2h meetings producing goals at both ends.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 06.02.26 | Premier League | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 09.11.25 | Premier League | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 27.07.23 | Club Friendlies | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 04.04.23 | Premier League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 05.02.23 | Premier League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service