Norway arrive into this Nations League A opener on the back of a World Cup run where they won 4 of 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Every single one of those five matches saw both teams score. Denmark are more mixed in recent form - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in their last five - but they scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in 3 of 5. Goalkeeper Frederik Ronnow is listed injured, which adds pressure on Denmark's backline.
The key numbers: Norway's last 5 produced BTTS in all 5 games and went over 2.5 in all 5. Denmark's last 5 delivered 4 over 2.5 results and BTTS in 3 of 5. The one head-to-head on record ended 3-1 to Denmark with both sides scoring. The model reads this as a high-scoring fixture with goals highly likely at both ends.
BTTS YES at 1.67-1.70 is the main tip. Norway are priced at 1.70-1.75 to win, but the cleaner edge is on goals flowing both ways. Confidence is solid given the consistency of both attacks.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.06.24 | Friendlies | 3–1 | O2.5 |
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