Nijmegen arrive at round 5 without a clean sheet in their last five outings across all competitions, conceding in all five. Feyenoord are unbeaten in their four competitive matches this season, scoring in every one of them. Both sides carry genuine attacking threat and genuine defensive fragility - the conditions for goals are clear.
Nijmegen have seen BTTS land in 4 of their last 5 games; Feyenoord match that figure exactly. The two h2h meetings on record both ended with both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals landed in all 5 of Nijmegen's recent fixtures, and in 4 of Feyenoord's 5. The model puts BTTS probability at 63 percent.
At 1.30 (10Bet/bet365), BTTS YES is the play. The data points here are unusually aligned. Feyenoord DNB at 1.65 is the alternative for those who want a result angle on the side with the cleaner record.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.04.26 | Eredivisie | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 23.11.25 | Eredivisie | 2–4 | O2.5 |
| 01.03.25 | Eredivisie | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 28.09.24 | Eredivisie | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 12.05.24 | Eredivisie | 2–3 | O2.5 |
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