Nice arrive at this Ligue 1 round-6 fixture with a patchy record: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five, scoring in only 2 of those 5 games. Four players are absent through injury, thinning a squad already short on goals. Strasbourg, despite two defeats, have scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5, carrying real attacking momentum into this one. The model puts the away win probability at 52%, well clear of the market's implied 33% at odds of 3.00. Strasbourg have zero clean sheets in their last five, but Nice's attack has been equally blunt, managing just 3 goals across the same span. The head-to-head backs a lively contest: 4 BTTS in the last 5 meetings and 3 games over 2.5 goals. With Nice's defensive absences and Strasbourg's free-scoring road form (10 goals in 5), the visitors look underpriced. Strasbourg away at 3.00 is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.04.26 | Coupe de France | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 04.04.26 | Ligue 1 | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 03.01.26 | Ligue 1 | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 12.04.25 | Ligue 1 | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 24.11.24 | Ligue 1 | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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