Nice arrive in wretched form: 0 wins, 2 losses, just 1 goal scored in their last 5 outings, and five first-team players sidelined. Lille, by contrast, have won 3 of their last 5, scored in every one of those games and kept 3 clean sheets. The quality gap is glaring.
The model puts Nice's win probability at just 2% and BTTS at only 7%. Nice scored in just 1 of their last 5 matches; Lille conceded in only 2 of theirs. The head-to-head backs a low-scoring Lille edge: 3 wins or draws for Nice in 5, but Lille's current firepower is a different proposition.
Lille Draw No Bet at 1.45 (bet365) is the call. The model's 76% away win figure, combined with Nice's near-total attacking failure, makes this a high-conviction play. Protect yourself against the draw, collect at 1.45.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 18.04.26 | Ligue 1 | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 29.10.25 | Ligue 1 | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 17.01.25 | Ligue 1 | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 10.11.24 | Ligue 1 | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 19.05.24 | Ligue 1 | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service