El Parque is the stage, but the script belongs to the visitors. Lanus roll into Rosario on the back of three wins from their last five, including a clinical 3-0 away at Dep. Riestra, while Newells have not lost in five but have drawn three and look blunt in attack.
The numbers back Lanus here. They have scored 7 goals in their last 5 games against just 3 conceded, while Newells managed only 5 goals in the same window with a defence that has been breached in 3 of 5. The one h2h on record is a brutal 0-5 defeat for the Leprosos at Lanus - a scoreline that screams squad quality gap. Nicolas Goitea is out for the home side, adding another headache.
Lanus at 2.75 is the play. The market treats this as a coin flip, but the form, the head-to-head and the goal tallies all point south. I accept the swing - back Lanus to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 17.03.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 5–0 | O2.5 |
| 05.10.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 31.01.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 27.08.23 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 21.05.23 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service