Newcastle arrive at round 3 with back-to-back Premier League results: a 2-2 home draw with Liverpool and a clean-sheet 2-0 win at Tottenham. Four absences on the injury list are a concern, but the Magpies have scored in all five of their recent outings. Bournemouth, winless in their two league games so far, have kept zero clean sheets across five matches and conceded in every one of them. The h2h record gives Newcastle just one goal in two meetings as hosts, but the model puts home-win probability at 78 per cent, a figure the 1X2 price of 2.10 does not fully reflect. Newcastle Draw No Bet at 1.57 removes the draw risk and still offers a workable return. That is the play here, at confidence level 3.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 18.04.26 | Premier League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 21.09.25 | Premier League | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 18.01.25 | Premier League | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 25.08.24 | Premier League | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 17.02.24 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service