Red Bull Arena hosts a New York side that has looked flat away from home, collecting just 2 wins from their last 5 outings while shipping 5 goals. St. Louis City arrive on the back of 4 wins in 5 across all competitions, scoring 15 goals in that run and conceding only 6. The model gives the visitors a 48% chance of winning, comfortably ahead of the home side at 29%.
The numbers tell a clear story. St. Louis have scored in all 5 of their last matches and BTTS landed in 4 of those 5 games. New York kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, but managed only 3 goals in return. The away side's firepower is a different level entirely, averaging 3 goals per game in recent form.
New York's injury list includes Justin Che, Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty and Nehuen Benedetti, adding further uncertainty to their defensive shape. St. Louis City at 1.91 is the call - a side in irresistible form deserves backing at a price that still offers real value.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.01.26 | Club Friendlies | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 29.01.25 | Club Friendlies | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 29.01.25 | Club Friendlies | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 10.02.24 | Club Friendlies | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service