Necaxa host Liga MX Round 4 off the back of three losses in their last five, including a heavy 1-3 defeat to Toluca, and they have kept zero clean sheets across those five outings. Leon arrive in the opposite mood: four wins from four, conceding just three goals in that run, with two clean sheets already banked. The visitors have scored in all four recent matches and lost only once in the last five head-to-heads from Necaxa's perspective. Necaxa have conceded in all five of their last games, and the h2h shows both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Leon carry three injury absences but their momentum is hard to ignore. At 2.9 the away win is the value play here.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.03.26 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 03.01.26 | Club Friendlies | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 16.08.25 | Liga MX | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 15.03.25 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 22.07.24 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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