Morocco arrive here having won four of their last five across World Cup and AFCON qualifying, conceding just four goals across those five matches. Three clean sheets in that run signal a defensive unit that stays organised even without Hakimi and Riad, both absent here. Mali, by contrast, have scored in only two of their last five outings and have lost twice in that span, including a defeat to Senegal and a goalless draw with Russia.
The sole head-to-head on record ended 1-1, which keeps the draw price honest. Morocco, though, carry the stronger attacking numbers: eleven goals scored against four conceded in five recent games. Mali's attack has managed four goals in five, and with Diabate out, their forward options are thinner. The gap in quality and form is real, even if Hakimi's absence reduces Morocco's width.
Draw No Bet on Morocco removes the one result that the h2h hints at. With odds absent from the feed, shop for a price around 1.55-1.70. Confidence is measured given the friendly context and three notable injuries.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 26.12.25 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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