Mjallby arrive at this Champions League qualifier on the back of one win in five, with two defeats and two draws dragging their confidence down. Their 3-0 home win over Lincoln Red Imps is the only bright spot in a sequence that also includes a 0-0 away draw in the same tie. Slovan Bratislava, by contrast, have won four of their last five, conceding just three goals across those games while scoring thirteen. Nino Marcelli is listed as injured for the visitors, but the depth in Slovan's squad has not been tested.
The numbers favour the away side clearly. Slovan have scored in all five recent outings; Mjallby have scored in only three of five. Slovan's goals-against tally of three compares well to Mjallby's four conceded. The DC X2 price of 1.80 (bet365) removes the home-win risk without sacrificing much value.
Slovan to win or draw at 1.80 is the play. Mjallby's domestic form is poor and their European record is built on one heavy home win. Slovan are the more complete side right now.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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