A Swedish side still searching for its feet meets a Salzburg machine that has not lost in five outings. Mjallby dropped out of the Champions League qualifiers and arrive here with three defeats in their last five, leaking eight goals along the way. The home crowd is the only card they hold.
The numbers back Salzburg hard. They kept three clean sheets in five matches, scored in all five, and concede just four goals across that run. Mjallby, by contrast, kept only one clean sheet and were breached in four of five. Salzburg carry three absentees but the squad depth at this level absorbs that. Draw No Bet on the away side at 1.35 is the anchor price here.
I want the bigger number, though. Salzburg at 1.70-1.75 to win outright is where the real value sits. A side unbeaten in five, full of confidence after a 3-0 road win over Tirol, against a home team that lost to Slovan Bratislava home and away. Back Salzburg to win at 1.75.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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