Mirassol host Remo in Round 21 of the Brazilian Serie A, carrying home advantage and a model that puts them as clear favourites at 49% to win. Their last five games show two wins, a draw and two losses, but Remo arrive with zero draws in their last five and a heavy 0-3 away defeat to Corinthians just days ago.
The numbers tighten the case. Remo have conceded in 3 of their last 5 games, and three of those five produced over 2.5 goals. Mirassol, meanwhile, have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 5. The model puts the home win or draw probability at 75%, while the bookmakers price the 1X at just 1.18, reflecting that same logic. Remo are missing three players to injury, adding pressure on a thin squad.
With the model at 75% for home or draw and a visiting side that has lost two of five and travels without key men, the 1X Double Chance at 1.18 is the disciplined play. For the risk-takers, back Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 given both sides' low-scoring recent form.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.02.26 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 15.05.22 | Serie C | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service