Mexico arrive in decent shape: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across their last five, with 3 clean sheets in that run. Peru, by contrast, have kept zero clean sheets in their last five and conceded in all 5 of those games, shipping 12 goals. The contrast in defensive records is stark going into this friendly.
The key numbers: Mexico have scored in 5 of 5 recent matches and conceded in only 2 of 5. Peru have conceded in 5 of 5 and BTTS landed in 4 of their last 5. In the only available head-to-head, Mexico won 1-0 at home with a clean sheet. No odds are published, but the model leans on Mexico's superior defensive structure.
Verdict: Mexico DNB is the main call. Peru's leaky defence and Mexico's three recent clean sheets make a draw the main risk - removing it offers the cleaner value. Alt: BTTS No, backed by Mexico keeping 3 clean sheets in 5 and Peru's attack being inconsistent.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.09.22 | Friendlies | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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