Mexico arrive here in decent shape, four wins from five across the World Cup group stage, conceding in just one of those five matches. But this is a friendly, and the head-to-head record against Colombia is a serious red flag. Colombia, meanwhile, lost none of their last five, conceded just one goal across that run, and kept four clean sheets. Jhon Cordoba is listed injured but the defensive numbers suggest the bigger concern is Mexico's ability to contain Colombia's attack.
The h2h data is blunt: Mexico 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last three meetings, conceding 10 goals and keeping zero clean sheets. All three games went over 2.5. Colombia's recent form shows 7 goals scored, 1 conceded in five matches. Mexico's defence looks solid in isolation, but it has never held Colombia in this fixture.
With no odds available, the value call is Colombia to win. The away DNB is the main tip, removing draw risk in a match where Mexico have not taken a point from Colombia in any of the last three encounters. Confidence is modest given the friendly context.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.10.25 | Friendlies | 0–4 | O2.5 |
| 17.12.23 | Friendlies | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 28.09.22 | Friendlies | 2–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service