Mexico head into this friendly off the back of two draws and two losses in their last five, scoring in 4 of those 5 games. Raul Jimenez is out injured, which trims their attacking ceiling, but they still managed goals against Peru and Colombia. Chile arrive in worse shape: one win from five, four defeats, and a defensive record that has seen them concede in all five recent outings.
The key numbers point firmly toward goals. Chile have seen BTTS land in 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding 12 goals across that run. Mexico hit BTTS in 3 of 5, and despite Jimenez's absence, scored in 4 of those games. Both sides carry genuine attacking threat alongside clear defensive fragility, a combination the model reads as a high-probability BTTS setup.
BTTS - Yes is the call here. No head-to-head data is available, but the form profiles of both teams tell a consistent story: goals at both ends are the norm, not the exception. Confidence sits at 3, reflecting the friendly context and Jimenez's absence.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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