Marseille arrive in poor shape, one win from five and four defeats, conceding 10 goals across that run. Four key players are absent through injury, including Hojbjerg and Kondogbia in midfield. Olympiacos come in with four wins from five but have key attackers out, notably El Kaabi and Bailey. Both sides have scored in 4 of their last 5 games. Marseille conceded in 4 of 5, Olympiacos conceded in 3 of 5. BTTS landed in 3 of 5 Marseille games and 2 of 5 for Olympiacos. The model reads this as a leaky, open contest: Marseille ship goals regularly, Olympiacos find the net consistently. BTTS YES at 1.57 is the call. For the alt, Olympiacos at 3.00 offers value given Marseille's four-game losing streak and heavy injury list.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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