Manchester United head into this fixture in modest domestic form - one win in five across all competitions - but Tottenham arrive in worse shape. Spurs have taken zero wins from their last five, scoring just 3 goals across that run, and they travel to Old Trafford without Pedro Porro, Xavi Simons, Sandro Tonali and Mykhailo Mudryk. United are missing Carlos Baleba, Manuel Ugarte and Amad Diallo, which hurts, yet the home side still holds the structural advantage here.
Tottenham scored in only 2 of their last 5 games, conceded in 3, and the model puts the home win probability at 74 percent. The h2h record from United's perspective shows 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in 3 meetings, but Spurs have looked defensively porous in recent weeks, shipping 8 goals in 5 outings. United's DNB at 1.28 (Marathon) essentially asks: can a winless, injury-hit Spurs side nick a result at Old Trafford?
The answer looks unlikely. Draw No Bet on United at 1.28 is the play. If the draw feels possible given United's own inconsistency, the 1X double chance at 1.22 acts as a tighter safety net.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.02.26 | Premier League | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 08.11.25 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 21.05.25 | UEFA Europa League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 16.02.25 | Premier League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.12.24 | League Cup | 4–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service