La Rosaleda hosts a Malaga side that has not won in five straight league outings, collecting three draws and two defeats while shipping six goals. Real Sociedad arrive with two wins in their last two La Liga matches and a squad that has scored in four of their last five games across all competitions. Four injured absentees for the hosts only deepen the worry.
The numbers back the visitors firmly. Malaga's attack scored in just 3 of their last 5 matches and kept only one clean sheet in that run. Real Sociedad conceded in all five of their recent games but also found the net in four of them, showing the firepower to hurt a leaky Malaga defence. The model puts the away win probability at 54 percent. At 2.15, that is genuine value.
Real Sociedad away win at 2.15 is the call. Malaga have nothing going for them right now and the Basques carry real attacking momentum. Back the visitors.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.01.24 | Copa del Rey | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service