Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive in this UEL third qualifying round on the back of four wins from five, including a stunning 5-0 away demolition of Sheriff Tiraspol. Their defensive record is equally sharp: 3 clean sheets in 5, only 2 goals conceded. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in five (W3 D2) but their schedule has been dominated by the Bulgarian First League. Their one European outing ended 0-0 away at Qarabag, and they have scored in only 3 of their last 5 matches. The model leans heavily on Maccabi's European momentum and goal difference. With the home side at 1.90-1.95 and a DNB price of 1.42, the value sits with the Israelis. Main tip: Maccabi Tel Aviv DNB at 1.42.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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