Lyon head into this Europa League round-2 fixture on the back of three wins from their last five, including a 2-1 away victory at Anderlecht in the competition. Crystal Palace arrive with a mixed record - two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five - and are missing five players through injury, notably striker Jean-Philippe Mateta and goalkeeper Dean Henderson. Lyon have the sharper home platform and the deeper squad here.
Lyon scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 3, posting 4 games over 2.5 goals. Palace scored in 3 of their last 5 and conceded in 3. Lyon's home Draw No Bet sits at 1.61 with bet365, a price that reflects the market's slight hesitation but still offers workable value given the visitors' absences and inconsistent recent form.
The verdict: Lyon DNB at 1.61. Palace's injury list weakens their attacking and defensive options enough to tip this toward the hosts. Confidence is modest given the thin head-to-head record and European unpredictability, but Lyon at home with insurance is the cleanest angle available.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.08.23 | Club Friendlies | 2–0 | U2.5 |
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