Liverpool arrive at this fixture with four wins from five recent outings but carry two injury absences and a blank against Fulham that tempers optimism. Manchester City, meanwhile, have won all five of their last matches, keeping four clean sheets in that run and conceding just three goals across the board. The head-to-head record, written from Liverpool's perspective, shows three losses in five meetings, with City putting nine goals past them in those five games.
City have scored in all five recent matches and conceded in only one. Liverpool scored in four of five and conceded in two. The h2h shows both teams scoring in just one of the last five encounters, a figure that underlines City's defensive discipline in this fixture. Model probabilities give City a 43 percent chance of winning versus 29 for Liverpool.
City Draw No Bet at 1.68-1.72 is the call. You get City to win; a draw returns your stake. With three h2h wins and five clean sheets in recent form, the price offers genuine value against a Liverpool side missing Chiesa and Ekitike.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.04.26 | FA Cup | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 08.02.26 | Premier League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 09.11.25 | Premier League | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 23.02.25 | Premier League | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 01.12.24 | Premier League | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service