Lincoln arrive at round 10 having lost three of their last five across all competitions, conceding nine goals in that run. West Ham are unbeaten in four Championship outings and have scored in all five recent matches. The visitors carry real attacking momentum into this fixture, even without Soucek and Veltman in the squad.
The numbers favour goals from both ends. West Ham saw BTTS land in four of their last five games. Lincoln, despite their struggles, scored in three of their last five. The model puts away-win probability at 64 percent, while both teams to score sits at 49 percent. Lincoln have conceded in three of their last five but also kept two clean sheets, so the market at 1.67 for BTTS YES offers a marginal edge.
Main tip: BTTS YES at 1.67 (bet365). Lincoln's defensive frailty and West Ham's consistent scoring make goals on both sides the most repeatable outcome here. Confidence is modest given Lincoln's two recent clean sheets.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 27.09.23 | League Cup | 0–1 | U2.5 |
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