Lille open their Champions League campaign at home, unbeaten in five recent outings (2W 3D). Betis arrive in good shape too, winning three of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over Real Madrid. Four of Betis's four injured players are notable absences going forward, and Lille's Nianzou is sidelined defensively. No head-to-head data exists between these sides.
The key numbers: Betis produced BTTS in just 1 of their last 5 games, keeping 3 clean sheets. Lille kept 2 clean sheets in 5 and scored in all 5. Both sides show a strong tendency to keep goals out rather than trade them. Only 1 of Betis's last 5 went over 2.5 goals, and 2 of Lille's 5 did the same. The market prices BTTS No at 2.05 (bet365), which looks generous given the data.
Verdict: BTTS No at 2.05. Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent weeks, and Betis in particular are miserly. The model points here clearly. Alt: back Lille on Draw No Bet at 1.62.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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