Round 8 in La Liga and Levante host Sevilla at home, winless in their last five across all competitions but carrying something nobody talks about: a perfect head-to-head record against tonight's visitors. Sevilla arrive without Ruben Vargas and Lucas Stassin, having lost to Barcelona and a friendly against Aston Villa in recent weeks, their form a patchwork of narrow wins and soft defeats.
The numbers are stark. Levante have won both previous meetings this season, scoring 5 and conceding 0, keeping clean sheets in each. Their recent form is poor, yes, but Sevilla's model probability sits at just 43% to win. Levante scored in only 2 of their last 5, yet in this specific fixture they have been clinical. Sevilla conceded in 3 of their last 5 games.
At 2.75, Levante HOME is the bold call. The H2H pattern is too clean to ignore, Sevilla's absentees matter, and the price reflects the market underrating a side with a genuine psychological edge here. Back Levante.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.04.26 | La Liga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 04.01.26 | La Liga | 0–3 | O2.5 |
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