Lech Poznan arrive at this second leg holding a 4-1 advantage from the first meeting in Aarhus. Their last five results show four wins and a draw, with 14 goals scored and only three conceded across that stretch. Aarhus drew 1-1 with Brondby last weekend and head here needing to overturn a three-goal deficit, a task that looks well beyond them at this stage.
Lech scored in four of their last five and kept two clean sheets in that run. Aarhus have conceded in three of their last five and have no injured players listed, though their attacking output away from home has not been convincing. The market prices Lech at 1.75 to win this leg, which looks fair given the aggregate position and the gulf in recent form.
With qualification all but settled, Lech need only avoid a collapse. A home win at 1.75 is the clear play. The alt is Over 2.5 goals at 1.73-1.80, given both sides scored in the first leg and Aarhus must chase the game from the first whistle.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.07.26 | UEFA Champions League | 1–4 | O2.5 |
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