The Via del Mare has been a fortress for everyone except Roma. Lecce opened Serie A with a tidy 2-0 away win at Venezia, but their pre-season was patchy and that result flatters the bigger picture. Roma, meanwhile, demolished Fiorentina 4-0 on matchday one, arriving in Puglia full of confidence and firepower, with only Lorenzo Pellegrini sidelined.
The head-to-head record tells the real story. From Lecce's perspective across the last five meetings, they have won zero, drawn one and lost four, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 8. Roma kept Lecce scoreless in 4 of those 5 clashes. Away, Roma have scored in 4 of their last 5 outings and conceded in all 4 competitive ones, suggesting goals will flow at both ends.
At 1.48, Roma away is not a generous price, but the data demands it. I accept the thin margin for a side that has bullied this fixture repeatedly. The alt play is BTTS YES at 2.10 - Roma leak enough on the road to let Lecce nick one.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.03.26 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 06.01.26 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 29.03.25 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 07.12.24 | Serie A | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 01.04.24 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service