Le Havre arrive winless in their last five competitive matches (0W-2D-3L) but hold a commanding head-to-head record against Auxerre: 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 meetings, conceding only 3 goals across those games. Auxerre have been leaky on the road, shipping 11 goals in 5 recent outings, and carry six injury absences into this fixture. The model puts Le Havre's home win or draw probability at 72%. Two inputs drive that number: the H2H dominance (3W-1D-0L) and Auxerre's defensive fragility (conceded in 4 of 5). At 1.36 for the 1X, the price still offers value relative to the 72% model estimate. Main tip: Le Havre or Draw (DC 1X) at 1.36.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.04.26 | Ligue 1 | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 26.10.25 | Ligue 1 | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.05.25 | Ligue 1 | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 01.09.24 | Ligue 1 | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service