Larne arrive here having been dismantled by Crvena zvezda across two legs, shipping nine goals without reply. Three wins from five looks acceptable until you strip out the context: two came against Tre Fiori, and the conceded total of 11 in five games tells a grimmer story. Iberia 1999, by contrast, scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and kept competing into July, drawing 1-1 at Slovan Bratislava and winning 3-2 at Flora.
The numbers that matter: Larne conceded in 4 of 5 recent outings, kept just one clean sheet, and average over two goals against per game. Iberia have zero clean sheets in five but they also have nine goals scored. The Georgians have not been shut out once in this run, and the DNB price for the away side at 1.62 looks soft given the form gap.
Iberia 1999 DNB at 1.62 is the call. Larne's defensive record is alarming and the visitors have goals in them. BTTS YES at 1.80-1.83 is the alt, with both sides having conceded in every recent game and Iberia scoring in four of five.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service