The Coppa Italia throws its doors open and Vicenza welcome Catania to what should be a lively 1/64-final. The hosts arrive in sharp shape, unbeaten in their last five outings, with a pre-season demolition of Luparense (4-0) still fresh in the legs.
The numbers back Vicenza hard. They scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets, conceding just 4 goals across that run. Catania, by contrast, shipped 9 goals in their last 5, keeping only 1 clean sheet and winning just once. That defensive fragility is the key number here.
Vicenza at home, unbeaten, against a side that leaks goals - this is a DNB play on the hosts. The price carries the natural cup-tie swing, and that is exactly the kind of bigger number I am willing to accept. Back Vicenza DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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