KuPS host Shamrock Rovers in the second leg of this Conference League play-off, with the aggregate score level at 1-1 after the first meeting six days ago. The Finns have taken only 1 win from their last 5 matches and kept zero clean sheets in that run, while Rovers arrive with four injuries in their squad, limiting their options going forward.
The key number here is BTTS: both sides have seen goals at both ends in 5 of 5 recent games for KuPS and 4 of 5 for Rovers. Over 2.5 has landed in 3 of 5 for each side. KuPS have scored in all 5 of their last matches. Rovers have conceded in 4 of their last 5. The first leg finished 1-1, under 2.5 goals, which is the one data point cutting against a high-scoring second leg.
With home advantage and a tie to chase, KuPS at Draw No Bet - 1.38 (bet365) is the play. The price is modest but the logic is clean: Rovers carry four absentees and KuPS need a result at home.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.08.26 | UEFA Conference League | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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