KuPS arrive at this second leg having lost the first 0-1 in Baku. The Finns have won four of their last five across all competitions and kept three clean sheets in that run, but their only Champions League result this window was that away defeat. Sabah have won three of their last five, scoring in all five matches, and carry a one-goal cushion into this tie.
The numbers favour the visitors on aggregate. KuPS scored in four of their last five but were blanked in the first leg. Sabah have conceded in three of their last five, so a KuPS goal is plausible, yet the Azerbaijanis need only a draw or a narrow defeat to go through. The market prices Sabah at 1.65 on Draw No Bet, reflecting that structural edge.
Sabah DNB at 1.65 is the call. They hold the away goal and need nothing more than to avoid a multi-goal loss. KuPS at 3.00 to win is tempting but the deficit makes it a harder path. Back Sabah DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.07.26 | UEFA Champions League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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