Two sides in poor recent form meet in Eliteserien Round 15, but the injury lists tilt the balance clearly. Start arrive with six players unavailable, including multiple regulars, while Kristiansund carry three absentees. The model puts the home win probability at 56 percent and home win or draw at 81 percent, a figure that supports a cautious approach to the home side.
Kristiansund have scored in only 2 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4, but Start's numbers are no better: 4 goals conceded in 4 of 5 outings, and four defeats in five across all competitions. In two previous head-to-head meetings Kristiansund have not won once, but that sample is too small to override the injury-driven edge here.
Draw No Bet on Kristiansund at 1.62 is the play. The model's 56 percent home win estimate implies fair value around 1.79, so 1.62 is tight, but Start's depleted squad and four losses in five tip the scale. Main tip: Kristiansund DNB at 1.62.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.08.23 | 1. Division | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 16.04.23 | 1. Division | 4–0 | O2.5 |
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