Kosovo open Nations League B with three key absences (Hajrizi, Rashica, Muslija) and a mixed five-game run: 2W-1D-2L, conceding in 4 of 5. Ireland arrive unbeaten in five (3W-2D), with zero defeats and only 3 goals allowed across that stretch. No head-to-head record exists to complicate the picture. Ireland's away DNB sits at 2.15 (bet365). The two inputs driving the model: Ireland conceded in just 2 of their last 5 matches, and Kosovo's depleted attack scored in only 4 of 5 while leaking 7 goals. A Kosovo win is possible but the price on Ireland to finish no worse than level looks undervalued. DNB Ireland at 2.15 is the main play, confidence 3.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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