Kocaelispor open their home campaign without a win in five, scoring just once across that run and shipping six goals. Two injuries in the squad do not help, and a 0-2 defeat to Basaksehir on Matchday 1 sets a grim tone for what follows.
Amedspor, fresh from promotion, crushed Erzurumspor 3-0 on opening day and carry nine goals from their last five outings. The head-to-head record gives Kocaelispor just one win from two meetings, and that sole victory came at home with a 1-0 scoreline, while Amed put three past them away.
The model puts Amedspor at 96% to win. The home price of 2.15 looks inflated for a side that has not scored in four of five recent games. Take Amedspor at 3.10 - it is the bold call this round.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.25 | 1. Lig | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 02.09.24 | 1. Lig | 3–0 | O2.5 |
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