Kauno Zalgiris arrive at this Europa League play-off second leg having lost three of their last five matches and conceded eleven goals across that run. Their sole win came in domestic competition against Hegelmann. Besiktas, by contrast, have won four of their last five, keeping four clean sheets in that same stretch. The first leg told the story plainly: a 3-0 away win for the Turkish side.
The key numbers reinforce the case for Besiktas. They conceded in just one of their last five matches, while Zalgiris scored in only three of five. Besiktas kept a clean sheet in the first leg and have not conceded at home in European competition during this run. The Draw No Bet price of 1.13 at bet365 is short, but the margin of safety is substantial given the aggregate position.
With a three-goal cushion from the first leg and superior defensive discipline, Besiktas are the clear play. DNB removes the slim draw risk at minimal cost. Back Besiktas DNB at 1.13. The alternative is BTTS No at 1.70, given Besiktas kept four clean sheets in five and Zalgiris are misfiring in attack.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 20.08.26 | UEFA Europa League | 3–0 | O2.5 |
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